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- Personal Income and Spending Unexpectedly Decline…Economists missed the boat by a mile on income and expenditures. Income and Outlays image top half from Bloomberg, bottom half from the BEA The BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays report for May 2025 was much weaker than economist’s consensus expected. Spending was a bit higher than I expected. To arrive at real numbers, subtract … Read more
- The Road to Incoherence: Arthur Burns…UPDATE: My concluding paragraph was inadverently deleted from my post, so even if you’ve already read the post, you may want to go back and read my concluding paragraph. Last December, Nathan Tankus wrote an essay for his substack site defending Arthur Burns and his record as Fed Chairman in the 1970s when inflation rose … Read more
- Why the Tories’ “put people to…What do you do when your economy is in the doldrums and you need to kickstart growth? Why, you put more people to work, that’s what you do. This has been the Tories’ strategy since 2010. The sustained attack on welfare benefits has all been focused on “making work pay” – encouraging, and at the … Read more
- Risks to growth and inflation helping…As I write this, the US 10-year Treasury bond is yielding 1.457%, well under the trading range it had established during this quarter. And there are a lot of theories as to why this is happening. I want to spell out how I’m thinking about the yields and what the risks and opportunities are going … Read more
- Too many Superheros?How much content should a franchise produce? A recent WSJ story indicates that the expanding Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) is approaching a deluge. The graph they created certainly indicates a huge increase in content, mostly on TV. How much to produce is an extent decision. On the one hand, the huge success of the Avengers … Read more
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Healing Through Grief: How I Found…
“When the soul wishes to experience something, she throws an
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Your Summer Adventure To Do List
While skiers and snowboarders know all about Kicking Horse’s legendary
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The Charter-Cox Merger Should Sail Through,…
Charter Communications Inc. and Cox Communications Inc. have announced a plan to merge in a $34.5 billion deal. The transaction would create the nation’s largest cable operator, surpassing Comcast, with approximately 38 million subscribers across 46 states. Predictably, the proposal triggered concerns about cable-industry consolidation. Yet the reflexive anxiety about “big cable getting bigger” misses

Rethinking the Fed’s Framework: Lessons from…
Executive Summary According to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the Fed’s flexible average inflation targeting (FAIT) framework played no role in the post-pandemic inflation surge, and officials acted swiftly once inflation proved demand-driven. This paper shows Powell’s claims are not supported by the evidence. The rise in the price level was driven by a surge

The Causes and effects of inflation
In the previous post, we looked at what inflation is and how they calculate it. In today’s post, we are going to, as always, look at inflation with a practical example called The Brick Wall Theory example. Don’t know what that is? Read about it here. If you don’t want to read about what inflation

Capital-Reversing In A Pertubation Of An…
Figure 1: The Wage Frontier for an Example of Capital-Reversing I am continuing to explore perturbations of coefficients of production for inputs of circulating capital in this example. The example is of the recurrence of truncation without either the reswitching of techniques or capital reversing. This post presents a perturbation in which the recurrence of

Brissie to the Bay report –…
Hi everyone My Brissie to the Bay cycle for MS Queensland, a huge success. Donations totalled $2595, which gave me the title of “Neuro Legend”. Thanks again to all the readers and friends who keep me going on events like this. I’ll never be competitive as a triathlete, but I’m still on top of my game

Too many Superheros?
How much content should a franchise produce? A recent WSJ story indicates that the expanding Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) is approaching a deluge. The graph they created certainly indicates a huge increase in content, mostly on TV. How much to produce is an extent decision. On the one hand, the huge success of the Avengers

Risks to growth and inflation helping…
As I write this, the US 10-year Treasury bond is yielding 1.457%, well under the trading range it had established during this quarter. And there are a lot of theories as to why this is happening. I want to spell out how I’m thinking about the yields and what the risks and opportunities are going

Why the Tories’ “put people to…
What do you do when your economy is in the doldrums and you need to kickstart growth? Why, you put more people to work, that’s what you do. This has been the Tories’ strategy since 2010. The sustained attack on welfare benefits has all been focused on “making work pay” – encouraging, and at the

The Road to Incoherence: Arthur Burns…
UPDATE: My concluding paragraph was inadverently deleted from my post, so even if you’ve already read the post, you may want to go back and read my concluding paragraph. Last December, Nathan Tankus wrote an essay for his substack site defending Arthur Burns and his record as Fed Chairman in the 1970s when inflation rose

Personal Income and Spending Unexpectedly Decline…
Economists missed the boat by a mile on income and expenditures. Income and Outlays image top half from Bloomberg, bottom half from the BEA The BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays report for May 2025 was much weaker than economist’s consensus expected. Spending was a bit higher than I expected. To arrive at real numbers, subtract